Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon2 - 1Brest
We said: Lyon 2-1 Brest
While Lyon head into this encounter on the back of a defeat, falling to a PSG side that has dominated the league is hardly a cause for concern regarding a dip in form. The hosts are expected to respond with a win against Brest, given their strong record on their ground in this fixture, though it may not come easily considering the visitors' recent upturn in away performances. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Brest |
58.31% ( 0.17) | 21.42% ( -0.01) | 20.27% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.18) | 40.36% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.26% ( -0.19) | 62.73% ( 0.19) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( -0) | 13.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.3% ( -0.01) | 40.7% ( 0.01) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% ( -0.27) | 33.54% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.29) | 70.18% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 58.31%
Brest 20.27%
Draw 21.42%
| Lyon | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 20.27% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Brest
Lyon
85.4%Draw
9.8%Brest
4.9%41
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 17
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Lyon
4-3
Brest
Tolisso (18'), Lacazette (70'), Tagliafico (79'), Maitland-Niles (90+16' pen.)
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
Mounie (59'), Del Castillo (64', 67')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
