Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.