Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Pachuca
35.82% ( -0.34)	24.93% ( 0.01)	39.25% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57% (

-0.08)

45.43% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.23% (

-0.07)

67.77% (

0.08)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19% (

-0.23)

24.81% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.6% (

-0.32)

59.39% (

0.32)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

0.14)

22.99% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.21% (

0.2)

56.78% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Juarez 35.82%

Pachuca 39.25%

Draw 24.93%

Juarez	Draw	Pachuca
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.25%