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West Brom logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2020 at 6pm UK
The Hawthorns
Leeds logo

West Brom
0 - 5
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-4)
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')

Preview: West Bromwich Albion vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two newly-promoted sides will renew hostilities in the Premier League as West Bromwich Albion welcome Leeds United to The Hawthorns on Tuesday evening.

The Baggies managed to take a point from their trip to champions Liverpool at the weekend, while Leeds scraped a 1-0 win over Burnley on Sunday.


Match preview

West Bromwich Albion manager Sam Allardyce pictured on December 20, 2020© Reuters

Sam Allardyce's inaugural game as West Bromwich Albion manager ended in dismay with a 3-0 home defeat to Aston Villa, and life did not get easier for the 66-year-old as his side faced a trip to champions Liverpool on Sunday afternoon.

However, the Baggies produced an inspired performance to stop the champions taking all three points in front of a 2,000-strong Kop, with Sadio Mane's opener cancelled out by Semi Ajayi's header as West Brom walked away from Anfield with something to show for their efforts.

Managing to hold Jurgen Klopp's men to a draw on Merseyside certainly has West Brom fans feeling optimistic about their chances of survival with Allardyce at the helm, with the Baggies boss renowned for his great escapes as West Brom look ahead to the New Year.

With Fulham and Burnley both failing to win over the festive weekend, West Brom are now only five points adrift of safety and three below 18th-placed Fulham, but the Cottagers are unlikely to be usurped in midweek given their superior goal difference.

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on November 22, 2020© Reuters

Leeds United's decimated defence shipped six against Manchester United after putting five past Newcastle United a few days before, but Marcelo Bielsa's side got off to the perfect start against Burnley as Patrick Bamford's penalty put them 1-0 up within the opening five minutes.

The Clarets controversially had an Ashley Barnes equaliser ruled out after Ben Mee was deemed to have fouled Illan Meslier, and Bamford's penalty ended up proving decisive as Leeds returned to winning ways on their own turf.

Sunday's game was not one of the classic goal-laden performances we have become accustomed to seeing from Bielsa's men, but a narrow win over Burnley lifted Leeds back above Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League table.

Leeds will now be determined to record yet another clean sheet when they pay a visit to West Brom - with Bielsa's men recording shut-outs in all three of their away wins this term - and the Whites are yet to draw a league game on unfamiliar territory in the 2020-21 season.

Leeds managed to scrape a 1-0 win at Elland Road against West Brom in the 2019-20 Championship campaign, but the Baggies held Bielsa's side to a 1-1 draw on New Year's Day.

West Bromwich Albion Premier League form: WLLDLD

Leeds United Premier League form: WLLWLW


Team News

Liam Cooper in action for Leeds United on August 10, 2019© Reuters

West Brom midfielder Jake Livermore serves the second of a three-game ban following his sending off against Aston Villa, but Matheus Pereira will hope to earn his first start since returning from a ban of his own.

Allardyce will certainly be reluctant to make many changes after taking a point off Liverpool, but tired legs may force his hand for the visit of Leeds this week.

Pereira and Charlie Austin are both options for change, but none of Hal Robson-Kanu, Kyle Bartley or Conor Townsend are expected to be back in time for this one.

Diego Llorente was expected to fill in for the absent Liam Cooper against Burnley, but Bielsa took no risks on the Spaniard and he did not make the cut on Sunday.

The centre-back will not return in time for Tuesday's game either, so Luke Ayling will be required to fill in at centre-back alongside Pascal Struijk once more.

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Furlong, Ajayi, O'Shea, Gibbs; Sawyers; Phillips, Gallagher, Pereira, Diangana; Grant

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Dallas, Ayling, Struijk, Alioski; Phillips; Raphinha, Klich, Rodrigo, Harrison; Bamford


SM words green background

We say: West Bromwich Albion 0-1 Leeds United

Both meetings between these two sides last season were closely-fought affairs, and that is unlikely to change here. Allardyce has vowed to shore up West Brom's defence - and their display at Liverpool proved that the Baggies manager is doing just that - and the hosts may fancy their chances against a makeshift Leeds backline. However, the Whites' intensity and pace going forwards should see them do enough to get over the line against a fatigued West Brom.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:curl



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: West Brom vs Leeds

West Bromwich Albion
15.4%
Draw
19.1%
Leeds United
65.4%
162
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West Bromwich Albion's Semi Ajayi celebrates scoring against Liverpool in the Premier League on December 27, 2020
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2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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