Tranmere have not drawn at home all season, and we do not expect that to change here when they face a Stevenage side that tend to struggle on the road.
We think that the visitors will come up just short against a Tranmere side that have won five of their last six home league games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tranmere Rovers.
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