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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Colchester United |
51.96% | 26.79% | 21.25% |
Both teams to score 42.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.59% | 60.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.45% | 80.55% |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% | 23.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% | 57.49% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.96% | 44.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.85% | 80.16% |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 14.98% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 4.3% 4-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.44% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |