League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
5 - 1
Southend

Rodney (1', 45+2'), Cordner (20' og.), Crookes (27'), Oyeleke (89')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Ferguson (85')
Demetriou (23'), Nathaniel-George (67'), Hobson (90+3')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Southend United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Southend United
49.53%	26.68%	23.79%

Both teams to score 45.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.03%

57.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33%

78.67%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49%

23.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46%

57.55%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91%

40.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26%

76.74%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 49.53%

Southend United 23.79%

Draw 26.68%

Port Vale	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.53%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.79%