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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
39.3% ( 1.2) | 27.58% ( -0.38) | 33.12% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.08% ( 1.29) | 56.92% ( -1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.17% ( 1.02) | 77.83% ( -1.02) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( 1.33) | 28.23% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% ( 1.65) | 63.94% ( -1.65) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% ( 0.11) | 32.07% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% ( 0.12) | 68.54% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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