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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two
Jun 18, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Exeter City

Colchester
1 - 0
Exeter

Bramall (81')
Pell (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Law (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Cohen Bramall curled in a set- piece with nine minutes remaining.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two playoff semi-final first leg between Colchester United and Exeter City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawExeter City
40.71%26.96%32.34%
Both teams to score 50.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28%54.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96%76.04%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52%31.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13%67.87%
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.7%
    Exeter City 32.34%
    Draw 26.96%
Colchester UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.34%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Exeter
0-0
Colchester
Pell (8'), Comley (34')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Colchester
2-2
Exeter
Pell (16'), Robinson (59')
Stevenson (43'), Pell (62')
Lapslie (76')
Taylor (8'), Bowman (77' pen.)
Parkes (90')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Exeter
3-0
Colchester
Jay (45'), Holmes (66'), Law (76')
Woodman (53')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Colchester
1-1
Exeter
Szmodics (67')
Nouble (69')
Stockley (70')
Taylor (56'), Martin (76')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Exeter
1-0
Colchester
Simpson (71')

Gondoh (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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