Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.