La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Iberostar Stadium

Mallorca
2 - 1
Cadiz

Sevilla (20' pen.), Muriqi (66' pen.)
Ruiz de Galarreta (69'), Ndiaye (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Alcaraz (8')
Iza (59'), Ledesma (64'), Perez (65'), Chust (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Four of the last five league meetings between these two sides have finished level, including a 1-1 draw in the reverse game earlier this season, and we are again finding it difficult to separate them here, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Cadiz
44.74%	29.17%	26.08%

Both teams to score 41.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.38%

64.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.37%

83.62%

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05%

28.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17%

64.83%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.23%

41.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.76%

78.24%

Score Analysis

Mallorca 44.73%

Cadiz 26.08%

Draw 29.17%

Mallorca	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 14.98% 2-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 8.11% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.47% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 12.09% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.18% Total : 26.08%