Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.