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Juventus logo
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Benevento logo

Juventus
0 - 1
Benevento


Bernardeschi (17'), Bentancur (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gaich (69')
Tuia (9'), Caldirola (75'), Barba (77'), Tello (84')

Preview: Juventus vs. Benevento - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A clash of two clubs in contrasting league form sees champions Juventus needing a win to keep faint hopes of a tenth successive Scudetto alive, as they meet free-falling Benevento at the Allianz Stadium on Sunday.

Visiting manager Pippo Inzaghi pits his struggling side against one of the clubs where he shone brightest as a player, amid a terrible run of form since the turn of the year, while the hosts must claim victory to stay in touch with the league-leading Milan clubs.


Match preview

Cristiano Ronaldo in action for Juventus on March 9, 2021© Reuters

Amid swirling speculation regarding a summer departure for former club Real Madrid last week, Cristiano Ronaldo put relegation-threatened Cagliari to the sword in Sardinia, as Juventus returned to Turin with all three points.

Thanks to his first hat-trick of the season - which moved the ever-potent forward onto 23 goals for the campaign, following a long series of doubles - Juve were able to bounce straight back from their painful Champions League elimination just days earlier.

Increasingly impressive in his debut season, despite a testing time for his underperforming new club, winger Federico Chiesa may be charged with leading the generational change next term, should the great man decide to exit.

Of the handful of players with at least seven goals and seven assists across Europe's top five leagues this season, only Manchester United's Marcus Rashford is younger than Chiesa and another assist - his third in the last month and seventh in all - helped Juventus to seal a fourth league win in five.

That run of form has closed the gap to second-placed Milan to only one point, but irrepressible Inter are now a full ten points clear of the Old Lady ahead of the weekend's action.

All season long, Juventus have proved a tough proposition in Turin, with ten wins and two draws from 13 league contests at the Allianz Stadium representing one of the best home records in the top flight, and no other side has bettered their tally of just nine goals conceded on home soil.

The Bianconeri have, in fact, won their last seven home contests in Serie A, scoring at least twice on each occasion while letting in just three goals - a formidable prospect for their battling opponents to contemplate.

Benevento manager Filippo Inzaghi pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Outplayed by previously lacklustre Fiorentina last weekend, Benevento posted a third loss in four league games and now find themselves perilously close to the trapdoor back to Serie B, from where they emerged as champions just last summer.

Somehow seeking to earn a first win in 12 games at the home of the current champions, former Juventus striker Pippo Inzaghi's team have only managed a solitary win since the turn of the year and are in dire need of a reversal in fortunes heading into the spring.

When the Streghe earned plaudits and raised eyebrows with a 1-1 draw against Juve at Stadio Ciro Vigorito in November, the newly-promoted side were drawing praise and from analysts and fans alike, as they sat comfortably in mid-table. However, six defeats and six draws have now come during this most testing spell of Inzaghi's otherwise golden reign, plunging Benevento into some serious trouble at the wrong end of the standings.

There is no secret as to why their initial impact on the top flight has foundered, as the Giallorossi have registered just eight goals during their long winless spell, with several strikers losing form at once. In particular, Gianluca Lapadula has hit a drought in front of goal, only managing a solitary strike from his past 20 starts.

With their next fixture after the international break coming at home to lowly Parma, it is games such as that potentially crucial meeting that will surely seal Benevento's fate one way or another, rather than this mismatch against the Serie A royalty of Juventus.

Juventus Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Juventus form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Benevento Serie A form:


Team News

Juventus winger Juan Cuadrado celebrates scoring for his side in November 2018© Reuters

Juventus continue to be undermined by absences through injury and suspension and will be without several likely candidates for the first XI on Sunday.

Full-back Juan Cuadrado will serve a one-match ban, while Aaron Ramsey is once again on the treatment table, alongside Paulo Dybala and promising centre-back Merih Demiral. Due to a thigh problem, Alex Sandro is in doubt too, so the versatile Federico Bernardeschi could deputise on the left flank.

As Rodrigo Bentancur is still observing quarantine after contracting COVID-19, Arthur and Adrien Rabiot should team up in central midfield, though experimental coach Andrea Pirlo unexpectedly fielded full-back Danilo in the engine room last time out.

Due to the relative weakness of the opposition, Dejan Kulusevski may continue to pose an attacking threat from out wide, with Alvaro Morata and Cristiano Ronaldo paired up front.

Filippo Inzaghi's hosts are set to be without Gaetano Letizia (thigh), Iago Falque and Fabio Depaoli (calf) for Juve's visit to Campania, while both Kamil Glik and Pasquale Schiattarella are suspended.

It is expected that Benevento will opt for a three-man central defence in an effort to contain the champions' attacking weapons, with Riccardo Improta and Belgian youngster Daam Foulon favoured for the wing-back roles if that is the case.

Experienced centre-back Luca Caldirola should come in for Glik, while January signing Adolfo Gaich edges Gianluca Caprari for a start in attack.

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Danilo, De Ligt, Bonucci, Bernardeschi; Kulusevski, Arthur, Rabiot, Chiesa; Ronaldo, Morata

Benevento possible starting lineup:
Montipo; Tuia, Caldirola, Barba; Foulon, Ionita, Viola, Hetemaj, Improta; Gaich, Lapadula


SM words green background

We say: Juventus 3-0 Benevento

The chances of Benevento ending their long winless run in Turin are slim to none, with even a repeat of their brave home draw against Juventus only a distant possibility due to their ongoing attacking impotence.

Victory is the only option for the Bianconeri, as they seek to cling onto the last vestiges of hope in their pursuit of yet another Scudetto.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Benevento win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Juventus vs Benevento

Juventus
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Benevento
3.4%
87
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Tables header RHS
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3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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