Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.