Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Tokyo in this match.