Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 42.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for a Lamia win it was 1-0 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.