Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest PAS Giannina win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.