Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.