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Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Belenenses

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Belenenses

Jose Calero (68'), Santana (78')
Cunha (3'), Soares (45+2'), Bueno (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calila (37'), Safira (42'), Henriques (50'), Carraca (85')

Preview: Gil Vicente vs. Belenenses - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of picking up just their third Primeira Liga win of the season, Belenenses take a trip to the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos to face Gil Vicente on Saturday.

The hosts, on the other hand, head into the game as one of the most in-form sides in the league, claiming five wins and two draws from their last seven games, and will look to keep the juggernaut rolling.


Match preview

Belenenses' Miguel Cardoso celebrates scoring their first goal with Afonso Gamelas in December 2020© Reuters

Gil Vicente returned to winning ways and strengthened their position in the Conference League qualification places last Sunday when they saw off a resilient Vizela side 1-0 at the Estadio do FC Vizela.

In a game where clear-cut chances were at a premium, Spanish forward Fran Navarro made no mistake from 12 yards out as he calmly converted his 27th-minute penalty to hand the visitors all three points.

Prior to that, the Gilistas saw their two-game winning streak come to an end when they came from behind twice to salvage a 2-2 draw against Santa Clara on February 6.

After a slow start to the season, where they managed two wins from their opening nine games, Ricardo Soares will be impressed by his side's turnaround as they head into Saturday's game unbeaten in each of their last seven games, claiming five wins and two draws since December's 3-0 loss against Sporting Lisbon.

This fine run of results has seen Gil Vicente strengthen their position in the Primeira Liga standings as they currently occupy fifth place with 37 points from 22 games, four points adrift of Braga and seven above Vitoria de Guimaraes just outside the Conference League qualification places.

Gil Vicente's Samuel Lino in action in December 2020© Reuters

Belenenses, meanwhile, finally gave their fans something to cheer for as they claimed a hard-earned 1-0 victory over Vitoria de Guimaraes on home turf last time out.

In an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Nacional do Jamor, Brazilian forward Safira struck five minutes after the half-time interval but it was enough to hand the hosts just their third league victory of the season.

Prior to that, Franclim Carvalho's side had managed just one victory from 11 outings across all competitions and were on a five-game game winless run, losing four games and managing just one draw in that time.

However, Belenenses now return to the road where they have struggled for form this season, failing to win any of their 11 outings and ranking last in the away record table with four points from 33 available.

O Belem have now won three, drawn six and lost 13 of their 22 games this season to collect 15 points and sit rock bottom on the log, five points off Tondela just outside the relegation zone.

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Belenenses form (all competitions):


Team News

Gil Vicente's Samuel Lino celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 2, 2022© Reuters

Gil Vicente will take to the pitch without the services of Murilo de Souza who picked up an Achilles' tendon injury in the game against Boavista on January 15.

Brazilian midfielder Joao Afonso will also play no part in Saturday's game as he continues on his road to full fitness having sustained a severe injury last April.

Slovenian goalkeeper Ziga Frelih is also out of contention for the Gilistas after coming off injured in the game against Portimonense on January 23, meaning Andrew will start in goal for the fourth consecutive game.

Belenenses, on the other hand, remain without the services of Portuguese midfielder Chico Teixeira, who sustained a knee injury back in September.

He is joined on the club's injury table by Nilton Varela, who was forced off the pitch just nine minutes into the game against Sporting Lisbon through a groin problem, while midfielder Rafael Camacho also misses out through a muscle injury.

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Andrew; Carlos, Cunha, Fernandes, Gomes; Carvalho, Pedrinho, Fujimoto; Leautey, Navarro, Lino

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Akas, Phete, Tavares; Calila, Carraca, Sithole, Baraye, Sousa; Safira, Camara


SM words green background

We say: Gil Vicente 2-1 Belenenses

Buoyed by their victory over Vitoria de Guimaraes last time out, Belenenses will be looking to build on that performance and begin their push from the bottom of the standings. However, they face a Gil Vicente side who have hit their stride since the turn of the year. We are backing Gil Vicente to maintain their fine run and come away with all three points on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Belenenses

Gil Vicente
100%
Draw
0.0%
Belenenses
0.0%
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Sporting Lisbon's Paulinho celebrates scoring their first goal with Pablo Sarabia on February 2, 2022
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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