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Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Fiorentina logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lasagna (17')
Caprari (46'), Ilic (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castrovilli (81')
Terzic (84')

Preview: Hellas Verona vs. Fiorentina - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fiorentina go up against Hellas Verona on Wednesday evening looking to extend their unbeaten streak in Serie A to five matches.

While Fiorentina currently sit in sixth place in the standings, Verona are down in 13th position after two successive defeats.


Match preview

Dusan Vlahovic in action for Fiorentina in November 2021© Reuters

With the future of Dusan Vlahovic a constant topic for debate, there may come a time when it could distract Fiorentina from their bid to secure European qualification.

Nevertheless while the Serbia international remains in their attack, anything is possible, and Vincenzo Italiano will be satisfied with occupying sixth place in the table at this stage of the season.

Vlahovic netted his 16th league goal as Fiorentina came from two goals adrift to draw with Sassuolo at the weekend, ensuring that they stay unbeaten since November 27.

Keeping clean sheets remains a major issue for this team, their only shutout in eight outings coming at home to bottom-placed Salernitana.

However, Fiorentina have a favourable schedule over the next two months, and they have every chance of closing in on the top four if Vlahovic maintains his current strike-rate in the final third.

Hellas Verona's Antonin Barak celebrates scoring their first goal against Roma on September 19, 2021© Reuters

There was a time not so long ago when Verona possessed a relatively sturdy defence for a mid-table club, but 31 goals have been conceded in 18 league games this season.

Just one clean sheet has been kept since the end of the October international break, while seven strikes have been shipped in away games at Sampdoria, Venezia and Torino.

To their credit, however, Igor Tudor's side played 65 minutes of the last game at a player disadvantage, and the Croatian will take the positives from the resolve shown during that fixture.

Although Verona have failed to win either of their last two games at the Marcantonio Bentegodi Stadium, they have still collected 16 points from a possible 27 this campaign.

Hellas Verona Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Hellas Verona form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Fiorentina Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Fiorentina form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Fiorentina coach Vincenzo Italiano pictured on September 21, 2021© Reuters

Verona will be without defender Giangiacomo Magnani after the centre-back's early red card at Torino.

Bosko Sutalo is in line to make just his second Serie A start of the campaign, and a further alteration to the back three will be required as a result of Federico Ceccherini being given his fifth yellow card.

With Pawel Dawidowicz expected to be sidelined for the rest of the season with a serious knee injury, Martin Hongla may be required to drop into the defence.

Cristiano Biraghi is absent for Fiorentina after his red card versus Sassuolo, a dismissal which could lead to Aleksa Terzic making his first Serie A start of the season.

Alfred Duncan may return in centre midfield, with Riccardo Saponara pushing for an opportunity in the final third.

Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Montipo; Casale, Sutalo, Hongla; Faraoni, Veloso, Ilic, Lazovic; Lasagna, Caprari; Simeone

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Terracciano; Odriozola, Milenkovic, Quarta, Terzic; Bonaventura, Torreira, Duncan; Saponara, Vlahovic, Gonzalez


SM words green background

We say: Hellas Verona 1-2 Fiorentina

While home advantage could prove key for Hellas Verona, we cannot ignore the firepower of Fiorentina. With that in mind, a hard-fought victory for the away side appears to be the most likely result, one which will keep them in the mix for the Champions League.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:473430:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9231:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
Fiorentina
58.8%
17
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 Fiorentina's Dusan Vlahovic reacts, November 20, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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