Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Rovaniemen Palloseura win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.