While most of Europe is on lockdown amid the coronavirus pandemic, the Turkish Super Lig is one of the few competitions still taking place and round 27 begins when Fenerbahce host Kayserispor on Friday night.
The managerless hosts go into the match without a league victory since January, but will be expected to end that poor run of form against their bottom-of-the-table visitors.
Match preview
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As demand grows stronger for Turkish football to be called to a halt, the players of both Fenerbahce and Kayserispor must continue to prepare as normal for a match which holds significance for both teams.
For Fenerbahce, Friday's contest presents them with their best chance yet to end what is now a seven-game winless run in the league which stretches all the way back to their January triumph over title contenders Istanbul Basaksehir.
Not since a nine-game run at the end of the 2002-03 season have Fenerbahce been forced to wait so long for a league victory, and their current position looks even more bleak than it did then.
The Yellow Canaries finished sixth in 2002-03 but that was an anomaly; they won the title three times in the four years surrounding that campaign and finished second in the other.
However, they are now having to come to terms with not being one of the powerhouses of Turkish football any more, finishing sixth again last season and faring even worse this time around, going into Friday's match in seventh place.
Only victory by seven goals would be enough for them to move up to sixth, and should they finish the campaign in their current position then it would be their worst showing since 1987-88.
The visit of Kayserispor is a match they will feel confident of winning, though; the away side are rock bottom of the table and have conceded a whopping 62 goals - 12 more than any other team - in just 26 games this season.
That said, manager Robert Prosinecki - a former Croatia international - has overseen a marked improvement in recent weeks and it is actually Kayserispor who go into the match in the best form.
Only one team outside the top three has picked up more points over the last six games, including three wins from their last five following a run of 10 games without victory before that.
The main concern will be their away form, though, having won just one game on the road in any competition since April and lost 10 of their 13 in the league this season, conceding 42 times in the process.
By contrast, only two of Fenerbahce's defeats have come in front of their own fans this season and only the top two have scored more goals on their own patch.
However, should Kayserispor manage to upset the odds again and continue their revival then they would move level on points with 15th-placed Yeni Malatyaspor and ever closer to the prospect of survival, which looked nigh-on impossible just over a month ago.
Fenerbahce Super Lig form: DLLDDL
Fenerbahce form (all competitions): LLDLDL
Kayserispor Super Lig form: DWDWLW
Team News
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Fenerbahce will still be without Max Kruse for this match, but the German is nearing a return and could be back for their next fixture should the season still be going on.
Altay Bayindir is also nearing a return for the hosts, but Nabil Dirar and Sadik Ciftpinar remain sidelined.
Kosovan striker Vedat Muriqi, who has been linked with a move to the Premier League this summer, will lead the line as he looks to add to his 15-goal tally so far this season.
The visitors, meanwhile, will be without Miguel Lopes, Nurettin Korkmas and Alpay Celebi, the latter of whom has been sidelined since August.
Levent Gulen also remains out through injury, although he is expected back next month.
Fenerbahce possible starting lineup:
Tekin; Isla, Jailson, Gustavo, Kaldirim; Emre; Ekici, Zajc, Cigerci, Rodrigues; Muriqi
Kayserispor possible starting lineup:
Lung; Kvrzic, Sapunaru, Angelo, Tasdemir; Campanharo; Acar, Dja Djedje, Mensah, Henrique; Mesanovic
We say: Fenerbahce 3-1 Kayserispor
This is a much more difficult match to call than it might have been in previous seasons. The form book points to an away win despite what the league table says, but it is impossible to ignore Kayserispor's dreadful record on the road this term so we are backing 19-time champions Fenerbahce to make a long-awaited return to winning ways.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.23%) and 1-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
