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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
2 - 0
Paulton Rovers

Hanks (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Gloucester City and Paulton Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North

Paulton Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Hamworthy Recreation 1-2 Paulton Rovers
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 57%. A win for Paulton Rovers had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Paulton Rovers win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawPaulton Rovers
57% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07) 20.72%22.26% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 63.08% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.65% (0.077000000000012 0.08)34.34% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.74% (0.088000000000001 0.09)56.25% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.5% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)37.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Paulton Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.10300000000001 0.1)28.29% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.129 0.13)64.01% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 57%
    Paulton Rovers 22.26%
    Draw 20.73%
Gloucester CityDrawPaulton Rovers
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 22.26%

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