Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Darlaston Town had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Darlaston Town win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harborough Town would win this match.