FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2021 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 2
Stockport

Doyle (33'), Kachunga (36')
Isgrove (11'), Kachunga (68'), Santos (78')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Quigley (23'), Whitfield (45+2')
Madden (82')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Bolton Wanderers and Stockport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stockport County
46.17%	23.33%	30.5%

Both teams to score 61.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45%

39.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.1%

61.89%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54%

17.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08%

47.92%

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86%

25.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15%

59.85%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 46.17%

Stockport County 30.5%

Draw 23.32%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.97% Total : 46.17%	1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.5%