We said: Omonia 1-2 Gent (Omonia to win 3-2 on aggregate)
We can envisage Gent coming close to turning the tie around, but having scored two goals in Belgium, Omonia will be confident of scoring a goal on home soil.
That would make progressing very difficult for Vanhaezebrouck's side, with potentially too much damage done in last week's first leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Omonia had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Omonia win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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