Europa League

Europa League | Second Qualifying Round

Sep 17, 2020 at 5pm UK

Stadion Lokomotiv

L. Plovdiv
1 - 2
Spurs

Minchev (71')
Karagaren (51'), Almeida (67'), Masoero (87')
Karagaren (79'), Almeida (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kane (80' pen.), Ndombele (85')

Jose Mourinho: 'I never doubted Tanguy Ndombele's quality'

Late goals from Tanguy Ndombele and Harry Kane spared Tottenham from defeat against Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Sep 17, 21:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lokomotiv Plovdiv had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.4%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
14.17%	22.89%	62.93%

Both teams to score 40.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.87%

56.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.81%

77.19%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.59%

50.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.06%

84.93%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.57%

17.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.13%

47.86%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14.17%

Tottenham Hotspur 62.92%

Draw 22.89%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 6.02% 2-1 @ 3.6% 2-0 @ 2.06% Other @ 2.5% Total : 14.17%	1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 15.34% 0-2 @ 13.4% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-3 @ 7.81% 1-3 @ 5.35% 0-4 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.06% Total : 62.92%