Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 5, 2021 at 4.45pm UK
Stadion Střelnice
Jablonec2 - 4Celtic
The Match
Match Report
Ange Postecoglou's first win in four matches in charge of Celtic put his team on course to face AZ Alkmaar in the play-offs.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FK Baumit Jablonec and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Baumit Jablonec | Draw | Celtic |
| 27.34% | 26.79% | 45.87% |
| Both teams to score 48.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% | 56.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% | 77.13% |
| FK Baumit Jablonec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% | 35.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.31% | 72.69% |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% | 24.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Score Analysis |
FK Baumit Jablonec 27.34%
Celtic 45.86%
Draw 26.78%
| FK Baumit Jablonec | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.57% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 1.95% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.48% Total : 45.86% |
How you voted: Jablonec vs Celtic
FK Baumit Jablonec
22.8%Draw
23.6%Celtic
53.7%123
