MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:54:11| >> :600:372393:372393:
Heidenheim
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Voith-Arena
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Heidenheim
2 - 1
Ljubljana

Beck (6'), Wanner (83')
Wanner (84'), Wanner (88'), Weschenfelder-Scienza (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blanco (77')
Charles (37'), Sanchez del Amo (38'), Agba (65'), G (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Heidenheim and NK Olimpija Ljubljana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 3-1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana

While Heidenheim are new to the continental stage, they will take plenty of confidence from their qualifying win and start to the domestic campaign and should have the quality to start the league phase with a three-point haul on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heidenheim in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Heidenheim.

Result
HeidenheimDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
39.02% (-0.814 -0.81) 23.39% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 37.6% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
Both teams to score 63.82% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (0.232 0.23)37.83% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (0.247 0.25)60.08% (-0.236 -0.24)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.268 -0.27)19.78% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (-0.445 -0.45)51.84% (0.456 0.46)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.521 0.52)20.45% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.817 0.82)52.91% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 39.02%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 37.6%
    Draw 23.39%
HeidenheimDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.54% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.075 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 37.6%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Ljubljana

Heidenheim
93.6%
Draw
5.1%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
1.3%
78
rhs 2.0
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