MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 22:14:47| >> :600:586029:586029:
Bala Town logo
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 2
Paide

Ukek (90+5' pen.)
Arsan (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceesay (64'), Medic (90+2')
Delevic (45'), Hoim (86'), Jarju (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Bala Town and Paide.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-2 Bala Town
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Paide 0-2 B36 Torshavn
Thursday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberystwyth0nan
2Bala Town0nan
3Barry0nan
4Briton Ferry0nan
5Caernarfon0nan
6Cardiff MU0nan
7Connah's Quay0nan
8Flint Town0nan
9Haverfordwest0nan
10Newtown0nan
11Pen-y-Bont0nan
12New Saints0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paide would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawPaide
32.82% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1) 26.1% (-0.023 -0.02) 41.08% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (0.077999999999996 0.08)51.13% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (0.07 0.07)72.98% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)29.36% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)65.34% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Paide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (0.097999999999999 0.1)24.59% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (0.136 0.14)59.08% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 32.82%
    Paide 41.07%
    Draw 26.1%
Bala TownDrawPaide
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.07%

rhs 2.0
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