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Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Hellas Verona logo

Empoli
1 - 1
Hellas Verona

Di Francesco (26')
Romagnoli (46'), Parisi (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cancellieri (71')
Casale (35'), Simeone (66'), Cancellieri (75')

Preview: Empoli vs. Hellas Verona - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Still searching for their first Serie A success of 2022, Empoli welcome mid-table rivals Hellas Verona to Stadio Carlo Castellani on Sunday.

After losses for both clubs last week, they convene in Tuscany with the home side having both drawn and lost six of their last 12 league outings.


Match preview

Empoli coach Aurelio Andreazzoli reacts on February 26, 2022© Reuters

Following last Saturday's excursion to San Siro, the long wait for a first victory of the year goes on for Empoli, who were beaten by Milan.

Pierre Kalulu's unexpectedly sweet strike from outside the area consigned the Azzurri to another defeat, and since mid-December no side has earned fewer points in Serie A. Indeed, they last endured a longer winless streak in the top flight during the autumn of 2003.

Still sitting comfortably in mid-table despite their decline, Aurelio Andreazzoli's side - who made an excellent start to the season - somehow remain 10 points above the relegation zone with nine games remaining.

The Serie B champions are, therefore, unlikely to make a direct return to the second tier just a year after promotion, but they will nonetheless be desperate to halt their barren run on home soil this weekend.

After a 0-0 draw against Genoa and subsequent 1-0 defeat to Milan, now Empoli seek to avoid a third goalless game in succession and claim maximum points against a side they have never before lost to at home in four Serie A encounters; keeping a clean sheet on each occasion.

Hellas Verona's Davide Faraoni celebrates scoring their first goal on March 13, 2022© Reuters

After winning 2-1 in November's reverse fixture due to a late Adrien Tameze winner, with victory on Sunday, Hellas Verona could complete a league double over Empoli for the first time ever.

Though they lost 4-3 in the clubs' most recent meeting - a Coppa Italia second round tie back in December - the Scaligeri are well-placed to repeat their Serie A victory at Stadio Bentegodi, due to some impressive form this year.

Before last week's defeat to title-chasing Napoli, Igor Tudor's men had gone four games unbeaten since the start of February, while embellishing their reputation as one of Calcio's most entertaining sides.

Despite failure last time out, the ninth-placed Gialloblu have picked up 26 points from 15 home matches in the current campaign, while finding the net at a rate of over two goals per game. However, it has been a somewhat different story on the road.

With just three wins away from their headquarters to date, Verona can be said to travel relatively poorly; having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 away games.

Their dark-horse challenge for a European spot has also foundered due to a certain weakness when taking the lead; Hellas have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Serie A side this season (22). Indeed, they have failed to win nine of 20 league games in which they went in front this term.

Empoli Serie A form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Hellas Verona Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Empoli's Szymon Zurkowski celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 26, 2022© Reuters

As he prepares for his latest attempt to stop Empoli's decline, Aurelio Andreazzoli will have most of his squad available to choose from on Sunday - injured pair Nicolas Haas and Riccardo Marchizza being the only exceptions.

Therefore, the hosts should line up with top scorer Andrea Pinamonti leading the line, supported by any two from Liam Henderson, Federico Di Francesco and Nedim Bajrami.

If selected, the latter will make his 100th appearance for Empoli in all competitions. The Albania international is also the youngest midfielder to have been directly involved in at least nine Serie A goals this season - six of his own and three assists.

Verona, meanwhile, will be forced to shuffle their pack far more, as Igor Tudor must deal with a number of absences. Wing-back Fabio Depaoli is set to miss out through injury, joining Pawel Dawidowicz, Kevin Lasagna, Ivor Pandur, Darko Lazovic and Miguel Veloso on the sidelines.

In addition, Ivan Ilic, Federico Ceccherini and captain Marco Faraoni are all suspended - with the latter pair being sent off late on against Napoli - so Bosko Sutalo, Martin Hongla and Daniel Bessa are on standby to be drafted into the visitors' favoured 3-4-2-1 formation.

Empoli possible starting lineup:
Vicario; Stojanovic, Romagnoli, Luperto, Parisi; Zurkowski, Asllani, Bandinelli; Henderson, Bajrami; Pinamonti

Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Montipo; Coppola, Gunter, Sutalo; Cancelleri, Hongla, Tameze, Casale; Barak, Caprari; Simeone


SM words green background

We say: Empoli 2-1 Hellas Verona

Empoli have conceded 11 times in the opening 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season - the joint-most of any team (level with rock-bottom Salernitana) - while no side has scored more in this period than Verona's 11.

Therefore, the opening stages could prove crucial to the overall outcome, and if the hosts survive unscathed, their winless run can come to an end against a depleted visiting side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Empoli vs Hellas Verona

Empoli
43.3%
Draw
25.4%
Hellas Verona
31.3%
67
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

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1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

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1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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