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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18
May 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Alfheim Stadion

Tromso
3 - 0
Fredrikstad

Nordas (17', 80' pen.), Napoleon Romsaas (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Woledzi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Fredrikstad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Fredrikstad 0-0 Tromso
Saturday, May 25 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Last Game: Fredrikstad 0-0 Tromso
Saturday, May 25 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Fredrikstad

 After keeping an in-form Fredrikstad at bay over the weekend, Tromso should be confident of continuing their good form at Romssa Arena and recording a third straight win at the venue. The visitors have enjoyed a fairytale opening to the season as they sit second in the league standings, but we feel that Fredrikstad will be brought back down to earth slightly on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Tromso ILDrawFredrikstad
39.16% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 25.58% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 35.25% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)48.44% (0.215 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.194 -0.19)70.57% (0.197 0.2)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (-0.125 -0.13)24.37% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22% (-0.177 -0.18)58.78% (0.181 0.18)
Fredrikstad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.092000000000013 -0.09)26.54% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (-0.125 -0.13)61.75% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 39.16%
    Fredrikstad 35.26%
    Draw 25.58%
Tromso ILDrawFredrikstad
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.26%

How you voted: Tromso vs Fredrikstad

Tromso IL
42.3%
Draw
19.2%
Fredrikstad
38.5%
52
Head to Head
May 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 10
Fredrikstad
0-0
Tromso
Molde (19')
Thierno Barry (25'), Yttergard Jenssen (45+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823
> Norwegian Eliteserien Full Table


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