Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 81.92%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.23%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
81.92% ( 0.08)	11.91% ( -0.03)	6.16% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.02% (

-0.09)

30.98% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.64% (

-0.11)

52.36% (

0.11)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.35% (

-0)

5.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.11% (

-0.01)

21.89% (

0.01)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.7% (

-0.22)

50.3% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.13% (

-0.16)

84.86% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Willem II 81.92%

Jong FC Utrecht 6.16%

Draw 11.91%

Willem II	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 81.92%	1-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 11.91%	0-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 6.16%