Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Jong AZ
50.9% ( -0.02)	23.15% ( -0.01)	25.95% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.83% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.1% (

0.06)

41.9% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.69% (

0.06)

64.31% (

-0.06)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

0.01)

16.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.64% (

0.02)

46.36% (

-0.02)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

0.06)

29.49% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5% (

0.07)

65.5% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 50.9%

Jong AZ 25.95%

Draw 23.14%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.9%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.14%	1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.95%