Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.