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NAC Breda
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

NAC Breda
5 - 1
Jong AZ

Herrmann (11'), Velanas (48' pen., 61', 89'), Banzuzi (67')
Rutten (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van Aken (90')
Dekkers (47'), Postma (47'), Reverson (52')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 1-2 NAC Breda
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 1-1 Helmond
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawJong AZ
40.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 24.98% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01) 34.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.84% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (0.029 0.03)68.16% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.030000000000001 0.03)25.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.042000000000002 0.04)60.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 40.41%
    Jong AZ 34.6%
    Draw 24.98%
NAC BredaDrawJong AZ
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.6%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs Jong AZ

NAC Breda
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Jong AZ
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Jong AZ
4-0
NAC Breda
Barasi (18'), Allouch (51'), Griffith (60'), Meerdink (87')
Stam (36')
Feb 21, 2022 7pm
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
NAC Breda
1-0
Jong AZ
Bakker (24')
Azzagari (42'), Bakker (46')

Taabouni (27'), Duin (81')
Mar 8, 2021 8pm
Jong AZ
2-3
NAC Breda
Aboukhlal (50', 52')
De Rooij (20'), Immers (30'), Maria (71')
Rutten (26')
Aug 29, 2020 8pm
NAC Breda
6-1
Jong AZ
Dogan (14'), El Allouchi (24'), Stokkers (30'), Riera (56'), Bohui (81'), Venema (90+2')
Oosting (90')
Dirks (18'), Goudmijn (62')
rhs 2.0
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