Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.