Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Jong AZ.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Helmond
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | De Graafschap | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Den Bosch | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-1 MVV
Monday, August 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, August 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Eindhoven | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Jong AZ | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong AZ |
25.3% ( -0.06) | 23.35% ( -0.03) | 51.35% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
