Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Jong Ajax.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 0-1 Helmond
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Jong Ajax 2-1 Cambuur
Monday, April 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, April 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.82%) and 1-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong Ajax |
47.29% ( 0.67) | 21.58% ( -0.16) | 31.13% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 68.75% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
