Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.