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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Right to Dream Park

Nordsjaelland
3 - 0
AaB

Ingvartsen (18'), Ankersen (19'), Hansen (88')
Walle Egeli (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Davidsen (50'), Jimenez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Danish Superliga clash between Nordsjaelland and Aalborg BK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 0-1 Silkeborg
Saturday, June 3 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Nordsjaelland 3-1 Aalborg BK

The last five meetings between Nordsjaelland and Aalborg has produced a combined 15 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest with plenty of goalmouth action. The Tigrene's home advantage gives them a slight upper hand here and we fancy them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.

Result
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
51.93% (0.297 0.3) 23.27% (-0.117 -0.12) 24.81% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.25% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (0.366 0.37)43.46% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (0.358 0.36)65.86% (-0.351 -0.35)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (0.245 0.25)16.77% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.43 0.43)46.72% (-0.423 -0.42)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.057000000000002 0.06)31.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.064 0.06)67.56% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nordsjaelland 51.93%
    Aalborg BK 24.81%
    Draw 23.26%
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.93%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Nordsjaelland vs AaB

Nordsjaelland
Draw
Aalborg BK
Nordsjaelland
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Aalborg BK
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Nordsjaelland
5-1
AaB
Ascone (45+1'), Schjelderup (46'), Diomande (69'), Nagalo (83'), Faghir (90')
Fossum (74')
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
AaB
0-0
Nordsjaelland
Ross (50'), Kramer (81')
Coulibaly (10'), Hansen (69'), Christensen (88')
Oct 31, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 9
Nordsjaelland
0-2
AaB

Frese (54'), Dohr Thychosen (70'), Pedersen Bredahl (90+6')
Fossum (45+5' pen.), Prica (71')
Christensen (45+2')
Aug 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
AaB
2-1
Nordsjaelland
Thelander (13'), Fossum (49')
Hojholt (65'), Ahlmann (90+1')
Diomande (1')
Coulibaly (51')
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Nordsjaelland
2-2
AaB
Phil Chukwuani (5'), Woledzi (67')
Woledzi (68')
Prica (22'), Fossum (76' pen.)
Rinne (32'), Ahlmann (55'), Hojholt (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Copenhagen24138340241647
2FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland24143743311245
3AarhusAarhus24109545252039
4Brondby24109546331339
5RandersRanders24108641301138
6Nordsjaelland2410593939035
Relegation Round
1SilkeborgSilkeborg249964132936
2Viborg FFViborg249784440434
3Aalborg BKAaB2457122446-2222
4SonderjyskESonderjyskE2455142954-2520
5Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub2439121730-1318
6Vejle2445152752-2517
 
Regular Season
1FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland22143542271545
2Copenhagen22118338241441
3AarhusAarhus2299442231936
4RandersRanders2298539281135
5Nordsjaelland2210573936335
6Brondby2289542321033
7SilkeborgSilkeborg228953829933
8Viborg FFViborg227783839-128
9Aalborg BKAaB2256112341-1821
10Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub2239101526-1118
11SonderjyskESonderjyskE2245132651-2517
12Vejle2234152450-2613


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