Relegation-threatened Crewe Alexandra welcome Sunderland to the Mornflake Stadium on Tuesday, with the hosts currently three points adrift of safety in League One.

Meanwhile, Sunderland are in fourth position, with 25 points from their 11 games leaving them just a point off top spot.

Match preview

Crewe Alexandra manager David Artell on August 24, 2021 © Reuters

Crewe have struggled so far this term, winning only won once in the league, which leaves them languishing in 23rd place.

The Railwaymen are winless in their last five league encounters and a run of three consecutive League One draws was ended at the weekend, when they lost to Fleetwood Town.

On that occasion, Fleetwood thrashed Crewe 3-0, with all three goals coming in the second half to condemn David Artell's side to their sixth league defeat of the season.

Crewe have only kept one league clean sheet this term, and Artell will be concerned that his side have conceded 10 goals in their last five league fixtures.

They have also struggled to find the net with regularity, scoring only nine goals this term - only Doncaster Rovers have scored fewer goals in League One this season.

Sunderland manager Lee Johnson after the match on September 21, 2021 © Reuters

Sunderland have been in impressive form this season, and they are just a point behind league leaders Plymouth Argyle, with two games in hand.

The Black Cats have only suffered one defeat in their last eight League One games, and they picked up three more points at the weekend against Gillingham.

In that encounter, Danny Lloyd-McGoldrick scored a penalty to give Gillingham the lead, but Aiden O'Brien and Tom Flanagan grabbed a goal each to give Sunderland a 2-1 victory.

Sunderland have won all six of their home league games, but their away form has room for improvement, with the Black Cats winning two of their five away league encounters.

Lee Johnson's side have been in fine goalscoring touch this term, grabbing 20 goals in the league, and they have scored in nine of their 11 league games this season.

Crewe Alexandra League One form:

Crewe Alexandra form (all competitions):

Sunderland League One form:

Sunderland form (all competitions):

Team News

Leeds United's Adam Forshaw pictured in action against Crewe Alexandra on August 24, 2021 © Reuters

Artell could make changes to his team for Tuesday, and the Crewe boss may bring Chris Long into the starting lineup.

There is also the possibility that Chris Porter makes way for Mikael Mandron.

Sunderland are likely to be without Lynden Gooch, who is out with a foot problem, while Aiden McGeady is a doubt with an ankle injury.

Leon Dajaku is also expected to be absent after picking up a thigh injury with the Germany Under-20 side.

Elliot Embleton will miss the game through suspension after being sent off at the weekend, and that could mean a place in the starting lineup for Stephen Wearne.

Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Jaaskelainen; Adebisi, Offord, Terell, McFadzean; Robertson, Murphy, Finney; Long, Bennett, Mandron

Sunderland possible starting lineup:
Hoffmann; Winchester, Flanagan, Doyle, Cirkin; O'Nien, Neil, Pritchard; Wearne, O'Brien, Stewart

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We say: Crewe Alexandra 1-3 Sunderland

Crewe are struggling this season and matters will not become easier on Tuesday when they face promotion-chasing Sunderland.

We think The Black Cats will have too much quality for The Railwaymen, and that Lee Johnson's side could pick up a comfortable victory.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.