Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.