Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 17, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Rafael Agustín Tovar

Zamora
0 - 1
Boston River

(Boston River win 4-1 on aggregate)

Alonso Yearwood Francis (17'), Dolgetta (58'), Vargas (88')
Aguilar (45+2'), Ramirez (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Urreta (20')
Fernandez (65'), Fernandez (66'), Costa (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Zamora FC and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zamora FC

Last Game: Boston River 3-1 Zamora
Friday, February 10 at 12am in Copa Libertadores

Boston River

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Boston River 0-3 Cerro
Sunday, February 12 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zamora FC win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zamora FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Zamora FC	Draw	Boston River
43.99% ( 1.73)	28.44% ( -0.19)	27.56% ( -1.55)

Both teams to score 44.11% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.33% (

0.01)

61.67% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.51% (

81.49% (

-0.01)

Zamora FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

0.94)

27.91% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

1.19)

63.53% (

-1.19)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.19% (

-1.26)

38.81% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46% (

-1.21)

75.54% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Zamora FC 43.99%

Boston River 27.56%

Draw 28.43%

Zamora FC	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.99%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.56%