Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 1Santa Fe
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Santa Fe |
| 48.59% | 24.63% | 26.77% |
| Both teams to score 54.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
