Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.