Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.07) 
