Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Xerez win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Xerez win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (9.48%).