Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Mostoles2 - 5Burgos
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Mostoles and Burgos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Mostoles had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.82%) and 0-3 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Mostoles win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mostoles | Draw | Burgos |
| 10.74% | 19.23% | 70.04% |
| Both teams to score 41.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
