Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Beasain had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Beasain win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.